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Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Qingdao Youth Island host Dalian Zhixing in the Super League (China) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Qingdao Youth Island 0–4 Dalian Zhixing.
Going into the match, Qingdao Youth Island had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Dalian Zhixing had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Qingdao Youth Island's last 10 and 7 of Dalian Zhixing's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Qingdao Youth Island averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Dalian Zhixing averaged 0.92 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Qingdao Youth Island and 1.14 from Dalian Zhixing. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 33%, against 39%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Qingdao Youth Island (green) and Dalian Zhixing (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Youth Island | DDWDD | 0.90 | 0.90 | 30% | 20% |
| Dalian Zhixing | WWDWD | 1.20 | 1.10 | 70% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 May 2026 · Dalian Zhixing 2–3 Qingdao Youth Island
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.