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Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Qingdao Jonoon host Beijing Guoan in the Super League (China) on 9 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Qingdao Jonoon 0–3 Beijing Guoan.
Going into the match, Qingdao Jonoon had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 10 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 29. Beijing Guoan had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Qingdao Jonoon's last 10 and 7 of Beijing Guoan's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Qingdao Jonoon averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Beijing Guoan averaged 1.83 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Qingdao Jonoon and 2.86 from Beijing Guoan. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 75%, against 12%, 19% and 70% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Qingdao Jonoon (green) and Beijing Guoan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Jonoon | LLLLL | 0.80 | 2.90 | 70% | 70% |
| Beijing Guoan | WDWDD | 2.50 | 1.10 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 May 2026 · Beijing Guoan 4–2 Qingdao Jonoon
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Beijing Guoan Win | 68% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.