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K4 League · South Korea
Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Sejong SA prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pyeongtaek Citizen host Sejong SA in the K4 League (South Korea) on 4 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Sejong SA to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pyeongtaek Citizen 7–1 Sejong SA.
Going into the match, Pyeongtaek Citizen had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 21. Sejong SA had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Pyeongtaek Citizen's last 10 and 6 of Sejong SA's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pyeongtaek Citizen averaged 0.92 goals scored and 2.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Sejong SA averaged 1.25 scored and 1.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.41 goals from Pyeongtaek Citizen and 2.09 from Sejong SA. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 34%, against 32%, 24% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pyeongtaek Citizen (green) and Sejong SA (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyeongtaek Citizen | DDLLL | 0.90 | 2.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Sejong SA | LWLLL | 1.70 | 2.20 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Sejong SA 2–2 Pyeongtaek Citizen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| Sejong SA Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Sejong SA HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.