Home › League stats › Primera División › Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense
Primera División · Costa Rica
Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Puntarenas FC host LD Alajuelense in the Primera División (Costa Rica) on 10 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Puntarenas FC 1–1 LD Alajuelense.
Going into the match, Puntarenas FC had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. LD Alajuelense had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Puntarenas FC's last 10 and 6 of LD Alajuelense's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Puntarenas FC averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home LD Alajuelense averaged 1.56 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Puntarenas FC and 1.65 from LD Alajuelense. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 48%, against 25%, 27% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Puntarenas FC (green) and LD Alajuelense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puntarenas FC | WDLWW | 1.00 | 1.40 | 70% | 40% |
| LD Alajuelense | WWLDL | 1.70 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · LD Alajuelense 2–1 Puntarenas FC
- 24 Apr 2026 · LD Alajuelense 5–2 Puntarenas FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.