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Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Pumas UNAM W vs Tigres UANL W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pumas UNAM W host Tigres UANL W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 3 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pumas UNAM W 1–3 Tigres UANL W.
Going into the match, Pumas UNAM W had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Tigres UANL W had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 30 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Pumas UNAM W's last 10 and 5 of Tigres UANL W's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pumas UNAM W averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Tigres UANL W averaged 3.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Pumas UNAM W and 2.21 from Tigres UANL W. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 61%, against 24%, 24% and 52% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pumas UNAM W (green) and Tigres UANL W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pumas UNAM W | DWLLW | 1.80 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
| Tigres UANL W | DWLWW | 3.00 | 1.10 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Tigres UANL W Win | 52% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.