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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Puente Genil vs Tamaraceite prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Puente Genil host Tamaraceite in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Puente Genil 1–0 Tamaraceite.
Going into the match, Puente Genil had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Tamaraceite had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Puente Genil's last 9 and 5 of Tamaraceite's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Puente Genil averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Tamaraceite averaged 1.00 scored and 1.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Puente Genil and 0.84 from Tamaraceite. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 23%, against 49%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Puente Genil (green) and Tamaraceite (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puente Genil | LDLLW | 1.00 | 1.11 | 44% | 44% |
| Tamaraceite | WLLLL | 1.30 | 1.70 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
| Puente Genil Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Puente Genil HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.