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Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Puebla W vs Tijuana W prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Puebla W host Tijuana W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Puebla W 1–1 Tijuana W.
Going into the match, Puebla W had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 39. Tijuana W had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Puebla W's last 10 and 6 of Tijuana W's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Puebla W averaged 2.17 goals scored and 3.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Tijuana W averaged 0.60 scored and 3.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Puebla W and 1.97 from Tijuana W. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 43%, against 14%, 18% and 68% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Tijuana W Win | 69% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 48% | 1.91 |
| Tijuana W HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.