Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla

The PunterPick prediction

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Over 0.5 GoalsOdds 1.20Market probability 78%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Puebla host U.N.A.M. - Pumas in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 31 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is U.N.A.M. - Pumas Over 0.5 Goals — U.N.A.M. - Pumas Over 0.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Puebla had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 16. U.N.A.M. - Pumas had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Puebla's last 10 and 7 of U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Puebla averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home U.N.A.M. - Pumas averaged 1.31 scored and 1.31 conceded across 16.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Puebla and 1.59 from U.N.A.M. - Pumas. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 40%, against 25%, 27% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Puebla (green) and U.N.A.M. - Pumas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form29% – 71%

Attack38% – 62%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head7% – 93%

Goals23% – 77%

Overall strength31% – 68%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Puebla	LLDDL	1.00	1.60	50%	30%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas	DLWDL	1.30	1.80	70%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	78%	1.20
Over 1.5 Goals	76%	1.22
Double Chance X2	72%	1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	67%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
BTTS Yes	57%	1.67
Over 2.5 Goals	53%	1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.