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Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Puebla U21 vs Monterrey U21 prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Puebla U21 host Monterrey U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 21 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Monterrey U21 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Puebla U21 2–2 Monterrey U21.
Going into the match, Puebla U21 had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Monterrey U21 had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Puebla U21's last 10 and 5 of Monterrey U21's last 10; 1 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Puebla U21 averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Monterrey U21 averaged 1.57 scored and 1.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Puebla U21 and 1.16 from Monterrey U21. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 28%, against 38%, 28% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Puebla U21 (green) and Monterrey U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla U21 | LDDWD | 1.00 | 0.60 | 50% | 10% |
| Monterrey U21 | WLLWL | 1.90 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · Monterrey U21 4–1 Puebla U21
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
| Monterrey U21 Win | 33% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.