Home › League stats › Liga MX U21 › Puebla U21 vs Club Leon U21
Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Puebla U21 vs Club Leon U21 prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Puebla U21 host Club Leon U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 9 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Club Leon U21 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Puebla U21 1–2 Club Leon U21.
Going into the match, Puebla U21 had won 3, drawn 7 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Club Leon U21 had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Puebla U21's last 10 and 5 of Club Leon U21's last 10; 1 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Puebla U21 averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Club Leon U21 averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Puebla U21 and 0.94 from Club Leon U21. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 25%, against 36%, 28% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Puebla U21 (green) and Club Leon U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla U21 | DDWDD | 1.10 | 0.60 | 50% | 10% |
| Club Leon U21 | WWWDW | 1.60 | 0.90 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Club Leon U21 Win | 35% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.