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Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Spain
Puebla Calzada vs Moralo prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Puebla Calzada host Moralo in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Moralo to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Puebla Calzada 1–3 Moralo.
Going into the match, Puebla Calzada had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Moralo had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Puebla Calzada's last 10 and 5 of Moralo's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Puebla Calzada averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Moralo averaged 1.33 scored and 0.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Puebla Calzada and 1.50 from Moralo. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 42%. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Puebla Calzada (green) and Moralo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla Calzada | DLWWD | 1.50 | 1.30 | 40% | 60% |
| Moralo | DDWWW | 1.10 | 0.80 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.