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Liga 1 · Indonesia
PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
PSS Sleman host PSM Makassar in the Liga 1 (Indonesia) on 11 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: PSS Sleman 3–0 PSM Makassar.
Going into the match, PSS Sleman had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 8 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. PSM Makassar had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of PSS Sleman's last 8 and 7 of PSM Makassar's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home PSS Sleman averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home PSM Makassar averaged 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.33 goals from PSS Sleman and 1.15 from PSM Makassar. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 17%, against 37%, 28% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between PSS Sleman (green) and PSM Makassar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSS Sleman | LLLDW | 1.38 | 1.50 | 75% | 75% |
| PSM Makassar | DDLLL | 1.30 | 2.10 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.90 |
| PSS Sleman Win | 41% | 2.40 |
| 1-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.