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Liga 2 · Indonesia
PSPS vs PSMS Medan prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
PSPS host PSMS Medan in the Liga 2 (Indonesia) on 11 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.56, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: PSPS 2–1 PSMS Medan.
Going into the match, PSPS had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 10. PSMS Medan had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of PSPS's last 8 and 4 of PSMS Medan's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home PSPS averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home PSMS Medan averaged 0.83 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from PSPS and 1.39 from PSMS Medan. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 31%, against 42%, 26% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between PSPS (green) and PSMS Medan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSPS | WWWLL | 2.13 | 1.25 | 75% | 75% |
| PSMS Medan | WWWDL | 1.70 | 1.10 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 61% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.