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Serie D - Girone E · Italy
Progresso vs Robur Siena prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Progresso host Robur Siena in the Serie D - Girone E (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Robur Siena Win — Robur Siena to win. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Progresso 0–1 Robur Siena.
Going into the match, Progresso had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Robur Siena had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Progresso's last 10 and 6 of Robur Siena's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Progresso averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Robur Siena averaged 2.38 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Progresso and 2.19 from Robur Siena. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 67%. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Progresso (green) and Robur Siena (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresso | LLLLW | 1.20 | 1.90 | 70% | 70% |
| Robur Siena | WWLWL | 2.00 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.