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Ligue 1 · Tunisia
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer host CS Sfaxien in the Ligue 1 (Tunisia) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 1–0 CS Sfaxien.
Going into the match, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 5. CS Sfaxien had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer's last 10 and 5 of CS Sfaxien's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer averaged 2.57 goals scored and 0.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home CS Sfaxien averaged 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and 0.59 from CS Sfaxien. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 22%, against 30%, 32% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer (green) and CS Sfaxien (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | DWDWW | 2.10 | 0.50 | 40% | 40% |
| CS Sfaxien | WDWLW | 1.30 | 0.70 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 71% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| CS Sfaxien Win | 37% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.80 |
| 0-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.