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National Division · Luxembourg
Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97 prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Progres Niederkorn host UN Kaerjeng 97 in the National Division (Luxembourg) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Progres Niederkorn 1–2 UN Kaerjeng 97.
Going into the match, Progres Niederkorn had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 5. UN Kaerjeng 97 had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 36 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Progres Niederkorn's last 10 and 7 of UN Kaerjeng 97's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Progres Niederkorn averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home UN Kaerjeng 97 averaged 2.56 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Progres Niederkorn and 1.92 from UN Kaerjeng 97. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 47%, against 49%, 24% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Progres Niederkorn (green) and UN Kaerjeng 97 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn | WWDWW | 2.20 | 0.50 | 30% | 60% |
| UN Kaerjeng 97 | WWWWL | 3.60 | 1.70 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · Progres Niederkorn 0–3 UN Kaerjeng 97
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Progres Niederkorn Win | 46% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Progres Niederkorn HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.