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National Division · Luxembourg
Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Progres Niederkorn host Swift Hesperange in the National Division (Luxembourg) on 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.37, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Progres Niederkorn had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 8. Swift Hesperange had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 1 scored and 34 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Progres Niederkorn's last 10 and 1 of Swift Hesperange's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Progres Niederkorn averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Swift Hesperange averaged 0.56 scored and 2.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.75 goals from Progres Niederkorn and 0.43 from Swift Hesperange. From that it rates a home win at 85%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 3%, against 81%, 15% and 4% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Progres Niederkorn (green) and Swift Hesperange (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn | LLWWD | 2.00 | 0.80 | 30% | 60% |
| Swift Hesperange | LLLDL | 0.10 | 3.40 | 10% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn HT & FT | 69% | 1.36 |
| Progres Niederkorn 1st Half Win | 68% | 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 67% | 1.37 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 50% | 1.88 |
| 3-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
| 2-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
| 4-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
| 5-0 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Progres Niederkorn form and statistics
- Swift Hesperange form and statistics
- National Division statistics
Other National Division matches that day
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Published pick: US Mondorf-les-bains Draw No Bet @ 1.20 - US Rumelange vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg · 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · National Division
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97 · 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · National Division
Published pick: UNA Strassen Win @ 1.55 - Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz · 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · National Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.35 - F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · National Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · National Division
Published pick: Double Chance X2