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Persha Liga · Ukraine
Probiy Horodenka vs SK Poltava prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Probiy Horodenka host SK Poltava in the Persha Liga (Ukraine) on 10 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is SK Poltava Win — SK Poltava to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Probiy Horodenka 3–2 SK Poltava.
Going into the match, Probiy Horodenka had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 24. SK Poltava had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Probiy Horodenka's last 10 and 4 of SK Poltava's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Probiy Horodenka averaged 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home SK Poltava averaged 1.09 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Probiy Horodenka and 2.06 from SK Poltava. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 56%, against 17%, 22% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Probiy Horodenka (green) and SK Poltava (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probiy Horodenka | WLLLD | 0.90 | 2.40 | 50% | 60% |
| SK Poltava | WLWLD | 1.30 | 0.70 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.43 |
| SK Poltava Win | 56% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| SK Poltava HT & FT | 36% | 2.62 |
| 0-1 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.