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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
PRO Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
PRO Vercelli host Athletic Carpi in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: PRO Vercelli 2–0 Athletic Carpi.
Going into the match, PRO Vercelli had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Athletic Carpi had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of PRO Vercelli's last 10 and 7 of Athletic Carpi's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home PRO Vercelli averaged 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Athletic Carpi averaged 1.14 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from PRO Vercelli and 1.67 from Athletic Carpi. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 45%, against 42%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between PRO Vercelli (green) and Athletic Carpi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRO Vercelli | DLDLW | 0.90 | 1.30 | 60% | 30% |
| Athletic Carpi | LDDLW | 1.50 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Sep 2026 · Athletic Carpi 1–1 PRO Vercelli
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.