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2. SNL · Slovenia
Primorje vs Dravinja prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Primorje host Dravinja in the 2. SNL (Slovenia) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Primorje 1–1 Dravinja.
Going into the match, Primorje had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Dravinja had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Primorje's last 10 and 7 of Dravinja's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Primorje averaged 0.89 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Dravinja averaged 0.78 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Primorje and 0.96 from Dravinja. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 25%, against 57%, 23% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Primorje (green) and Dravinja (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| Primorje Win | 58% | 1.55 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Primorje HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.