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3. Liga · Germany
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Preußen Münster host Rot-Weiß Essen in the 3. Liga (Germany) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Preußen Münster 3–3 Rot-Weiß Essen.
Going into the match, Preußen Münster had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Rot-Weiß Essen had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Preußen Münster's last 10 and 5 of Rot-Weiß Essen's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Preußen Münster averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Rot-Weiß Essen averaged 2.18 scored and 2.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Preußen Münster and 1.94 from Rot-Weiß Essen. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 45%, against 26%, 26% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Preußen Münster (green) and Rot-Weiß Essen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster | LDWWL | 1.70 | 1.70 | 80% | 80% |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | DDWWW | 1.70 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.