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3. Liga · Germany
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Preußen Münster host Fortuna Düsseldorf in the 3. Liga (Germany) on 14 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Preußen Münster 1–2 Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Going into the match, Preußen Münster had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 20. Fortuna Düsseldorf had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Preußen Münster's last 10 and 6 of Fortuna Düsseldorf's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Preußen Münster averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Fortuna Düsseldorf averaged 2.36 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Preußen Münster and 1.93 from Fortuna Düsseldorf. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 48%, against 33%, 27% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Preußen Münster (green) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster | DLDWW | 1.70 | 2.00 | 90% | 80% |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | DLWWD | 1.10 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.