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Championship · England
Preston vs Millwall prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Preston host Millwall in the Championship (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Preston 0–1 Millwall.
Going into the match, Preston had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 20. Millwall had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Preston's last 10 and 4 of Millwall's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Preston averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Millwall averaged 1.07 scored and 1.27 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Preston and 1.62 from Millwall. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 51%, against 32%, 28% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Preston (green) and Millwall (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.