Home › League stats › 4. liga - Divizie C › Přepeře vs Ústí nad Orlicí
4. liga - Divizie C · Czech Republic
Přepeře vs Ústí nad Orlicí prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Přepeře host Ústí nad Orlicí in the 4. liga - Divizie C (Czech Republic) on 17 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Přepeře 1–0 Ústí nad Orlicí.
Going into the match, Přepeře had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 30 and conceding 8. Ústí nad Orlicí had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Přepeře's last 10 and 6 of Ústí nad Orlicí's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Přepeře averaged 2.80 goals scored and 1.47 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Ústí nad Orlicí averaged 2.09 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.28 goals from Přepeře and 1.13 from Ústí nad Orlicí. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 17%, against 52%, 22% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Přepeře (green) and Ústí nad Orlicí (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Přepeře | WWLWW | 3.00 | 0.80 | 40% | 60% |
| Ústí nad Orlicí | LWWDW | 2.20 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Aug 2026 · Přepeře 4–3 Ústí nad Orlicí
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.69 |
| Přepeře Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| Přepeře HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.