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Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap vs Chiangrai United prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Prachuap host Chiangrai United in the Thai League 1 (Thailand) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Prachuap 2–1 Chiangrai United.
Going into the match, Prachuap had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Chiangrai United had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 8, with 7 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Prachuap's last 9 and 2 of Chiangrai United's last 8; 3 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Prachuap averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Chiangrai United averaged 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Prachuap and 0.50 from Chiangrai United. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 16%, against 53%, 27% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Prachuap (green) and Chiangrai United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prachuap | WWLDW | 1.33 | 0.56 | 11% | 33% |
| Chiangrai United | LDWWD | 0.88 | 0.38 | 25% | 0% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Prachuap Win | 53% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.