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Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Portsmouth host Sheffield Utd in the Championship (England) on 14 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Portsmouth 3–2 Sheffield Utd.
Going into the match, Portsmouth had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Sheffield Utd had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Portsmouth's last 10 and 6 of Sheffield Utd's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Portsmouth averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Sheffield Utd averaged 1.50 scored and 0.71 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.87 goals from Portsmouth and 1.18 from Sheffield Utd. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 42%, against 43%, 29% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Portsmouth (green) and Sheffield Utd (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | LDDWL | 1.00 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
| Sheffield Utd | WLLLW | 1.40 | 1.30 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.