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NWSL Women · USA
Portland Thorns W vs North Carolina Courage W prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Portland Thorns W host North Carolina Courage W in the NWSL Women (USA) on 24 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Portland Thorns W had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 16. North Carolina Courage W had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Portland Thorns W's last 10 and 7 of North Carolina Courage W's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Portland Thorns W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home North Carolina Courage W averaged 1.85 scored and 1.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.84 goals from Portland Thorns W and 2.15 from North Carolina Courage W. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 45%, against 37%, 25% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Portland Thorns W (green) and North Carolina Courage W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Thorns W | DLDWD | 1.90 | 1.60 | 90% | 60% |
| North Carolina Courage W | LWLLL | 1.90 | 1.50 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Portland Thorns W form and statistics
- North Carolina Courage W form and statistics
- NWSL Women statistics
Other NWSL Women matches that day
- Utah Royals W vs Seattle Reign FC W · 24 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chicago Red Stars W vs Houston Dash W · 24 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: Double Chance X2