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Premiership · Northern Ireland
Portadown vs Limavady United prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Portadown host Limavady United in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Portadown 3–1 Limavady United.
Going into the match, Portadown had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 19. Limavady United had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Portadown's last 10 and 3 of Limavady United's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Portadown averaged 0.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Limavady United averaged 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Portadown and 1.18 from Limavady United. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 37%, against 34%, 26% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Portadown (green) and Limavady United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portadown | LLDLL | 0.80 | 1.90 | 40% | 50% |
| Limavady United | WLWWL | 0.80 | 1.20 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.