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Premiership · Northern Ireland

Portadown vs Glentoran prediction and preview

9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 64%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Portadown host Glentoran in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Portadown 0–0 Glentoran.

Going into the match, Portadown had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 20. Glentoran had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Portadown's last 10 and 6 of Glentoran's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Portadown averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Glentoran averaged 2.38 scored and 2.13 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Portadown and 1.53 from Glentoran. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 52%, against 20%, 21% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Portadown (green) and Glentoran (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form29% – 71%
Attack38% – 62%
Defence31% – 69%
Head-to-head20% – 80%
Goals36% – 64%
Overall strength30% – 69%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
PortadownWLLDL0.802.0050%50%
GlentoranWWWLD1.501.0060%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No78%1.20
Over 1.5 Goals77%1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals72%1.30
Under 3.5 Goals64%1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals61%1.53
Glentoran Win59%1.55
Over 2.5 Goals57%1.65
BTTS Yes55%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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