Home › League stats › Primera B › Popayan vs Union Magdalena
Primera B · Colombia
Popayan vs Union Magdalena prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Popayan host Union Magdalena in the Primera B (Colombia) on 7 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Union Magdalena to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Popayan 1–1 Union Magdalena.
Going into the match, Popayan had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Union Magdalena had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Popayan's last 10 and 6 of Union Magdalena's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Popayan averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Union Magdalena averaged 1.18 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Popayan and 1.22 from Union Magdalena. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 34%, against 25%, 30% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Popayan (green) and Union Magdalena (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Popayan | WWWWD | 1.70 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
| Union Magdalena | WDDWL | 1.00 | 1.30 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.77 |
| Union Magdalena Win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Union Magdalena HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
| 0-1 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.