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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Poole Town vs Evesham United prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Poole Town host Evesham United in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.69, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Poole Town 3–1 Evesham United.
Going into the match, Poole Town had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Evesham United had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Poole Town's last 10 and 4 of Evesham United's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Poole Town averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Evesham United averaged 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from Poole Town and 0.76 from Evesham United. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 12%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Poole Town (green) and Evesham United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | WWWLL | 1.30 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Evesham United | WWLDW | 1.50 | 1.60 | 40% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Poole Town Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Poole Town HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.