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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Poole Town vs Bracknell Town prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Poole Town host Bracknell Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Poole Town Win — Poole Town to win. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Poole Town 1–0 Bracknell Town.
Going into the match, Poole Town had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Bracknell Town had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Poole Town's last 10 and 6 of Bracknell Town's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Poole Town averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Bracknell Town averaged 0.67 scored and 2.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.27 goals from Poole Town and 0.58 from Bracknell Town. From that it rates a home win at 75%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 7%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Poole Town (green) and Bracknell Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | WWWWW | 1.70 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Bracknell Town | DDWLL | 1.10 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.65 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Poole Town Win | 58% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.20 |
| Poole Town HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.