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I Liga · Poland
Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Polonia Warszawa host Miedz Legnica in the I Liga (Poland) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Polonia Warszawa had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Miedz Legnica had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Polonia Warszawa's last 10 and 4 of Miedz Legnica's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Polonia Warszawa averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Miedz Legnica averaged 1.00 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Polonia Warszawa and 0.97 from Miedz Legnica. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 27%, against 48%, 25% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Polonia Warszawa (green) and Miedz Legnica (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Warszawa | WWWWD | 1.60 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Miedz Legnica | WLLLL | 1.40 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Polonia Warszawa Win | 48% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.