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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Polonia Środa vs Kluczevia Stargard prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Polonia Środa host Kluczevia Stargard in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Polonia Środa 2–0 Kluczevia Stargard.
Going into the match, Polonia Środa had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 18. Kluczevia Stargard had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Polonia Środa's last 10 and 8 of Kluczevia Stargard's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Polonia Środa averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Kluczevia Stargard averaged 1.82 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.47 goals from Polonia Środa and 1.47 from Kluczevia Stargard. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 21%, against 54%, 22% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Polonia Środa (green) and Kluczevia Stargard (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Środa | WDDWD | 3.20 | 1.80 | 80% | 90% |
| Kluczevia Stargard | LWWLD | 2.10 | 1.50 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Kluczevia Stargard 1–2 Polonia Środa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| Polonia Środa Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| Polonia Środa HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.