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III Liga - Group 3 · Poland
Polonia Nysa vs Miedź Legnica II prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Polonia Nysa host Miedź Legnica II in the III Liga - Group 3 (Poland) on 2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Polonia Nysa 1–2 Miedź Legnica II.
Going into the match, Polonia Nysa had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 22. Miedź Legnica II had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Polonia Nysa's last 10 and 7 of Miedź Legnica II's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Polonia Nysa averaged 1.30 goals scored and 2.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Miedź Legnica II averaged 2.38 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Polonia Nysa and 2.12 from Miedź Legnica II. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 52%, against 27%, 23% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Polonia Nysa (green) and Miedź Legnica II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Nysa | WLLLL | 1.10 | 2.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Miedź Legnica II | LWWWD | 2.30 | 2.00 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| Miedź Legnica II Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Miedź Legnica II HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.