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III Liga - Group 3 · Poland
Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Polonia Nysa host Karkonosze Jelenia Góra in the III Liga - Group 3 (Poland) on 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Polonia Nysa 2–2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.
Going into the match, Polonia Nysa had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 19. Karkonosze Jelenia Góra had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Polonia Nysa's last 10 and 3 of Karkonosze Jelenia Góra's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Polonia Nysa averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Karkonosze Jelenia Góra averaged 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Polonia Nysa and 1.48 from Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 44%, against 33%, 26% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Polonia Nysa (green) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Nysa | WLWLL | 1.10 | 1.90 | 60% | 60% |
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | LWLWL | 1.20 | 0.90 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 3–1 Polonia Nysa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Win | 41% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.