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Ligi kuu Bara · Tanzania
Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Polisi Tanzania host Pamba Jiji in the Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Polisi Tanzania to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Polisi Tanzania had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Pamba Jiji had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Polisi Tanzania's last 10 and 7 of Pamba Jiji's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Polisi Tanzania averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Pamba Jiji averaged 0.73 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from Polisi Tanzania and 0.97 from Pamba Jiji. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 16%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Polisi Tanzania (green) and Pamba Jiji (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polisi Tanzania | DLWLL | 1.50 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
| Pamba Jiji | DWLLL | 1.10 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.