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Premier League · Uganda
Police vs SC Villa prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Police host SC Villa in the Premier League (Uganda) on 14 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — SC Villa to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Police 1–6 SC Villa.
Going into the match, Police had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. SC Villa had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Police's last 10 and 4 of SC Villa's last 10; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Police averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home SC Villa averaged 1.11 scored and 0.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Police and 1.66 from SC Villa. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 53%, against 25%, 29% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Police (green) and SC Villa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.