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Thai League 2 · Thailand
Police Tero vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Police Tero host Nakhon Ratchasima FC in the Thai League 2 (Thailand) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Nakhon Ratchasima FC to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Police Tero 1–1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
Going into the match, Police Tero had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 8 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Nakhon Ratchasima FC had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Police Tero's last 8 and 6 of Nakhon Ratchasima FC's last 9; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Police Tero averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Nakhon Ratchasima FC averaged 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Police Tero and 1.25 from Nakhon Ratchasima FC. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 26%, against 40%, 27% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Police Tero (green) and Nakhon Ratchasima FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police Tero | LLWWL | 1.38 | 1.38 | 50% | 63% |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | LDLDL | 1.00 | 1.33 | 67% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC Win | 32% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.