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Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Polessya host Obolon'-Brovar in the Premier League (Ukraine) on 23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Polessya had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 8. Obolon'-Brovar had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 4 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Polessya's last 10 and 2 of Obolon'-Brovar's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Polessya averaged 2.21 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Obolon'-Brovar averaged 0.62 scored and 1.85 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.33 goals from Polessya and 0.57 from Obolon'-Brovar. From that it rates a home win at 76%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 7%, against 75%, 18% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Polessya (green) and Obolon'-Brovar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya | WDWWW | 2.20 | 0.80 | 60% | 60% |
| Obolon'-Brovar | WDLLD | 0.40 | 1.50 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Polessya 3–1 Obolon'-Brovar
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Polessya Win | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 64% | 1.44 |
| Polessya HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| Polessya 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka · 23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.73 - Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka · 23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33