Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.28Market probability 72%Final score 3–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Polessya host Dynamo Kyiv in the Premier League (Ukraine) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Polessya 3–1 Dynamo Kyiv.

Going into the match, Polessya had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Dynamo Kyiv had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Polessya's last 10 and 2 of Dynamo Kyiv's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Polessya averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Dynamo Kyiv averaged 1.80 scored and 1.27 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Polessya and 0.95 from Dynamo Kyiv. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 19%, against 42%, 28% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Polessya (green) and Dynamo Kyiv (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form57% – 43%

Attack65% – 35%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head7% – 93%

Goals21% – 79%

Overall strength44% – 55%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Polessya	DWWWW	2.00	0.90	60%	60%
Dynamo Kyiv	WWWWD	1.20	0.70	20%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.28
Over 1.5 Goals	72%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	71%	1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
Under 9.5 Corners	54%	1.73
BTTS Yes	53%	1.80
Under 2.5 Goals	51%	1.85

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.