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AFC Champions League Elite · International
Pohang Steelers vs Johor Darul Takzim FC prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pohang Steelers host Johor Darul Takzim FC in the AFC Champions League Elite (International) on 13 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pohang Steelers 0–2 Johor Darul Takzim FC.
Going into the match, Pohang Steelers had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Johor Darul Takzim FC had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 54 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Pohang Steelers's last 10 and 4 of Johor Darul Takzim FC's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pohang Steelers averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Johor Darul Takzim FC averaged 4.00 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.61 goals from Pohang Steelers and 2.97 from Johor Darul Takzim FC. From that it rates a home win at 4%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 84%, against 30%, 26% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pohang Steelers (green) and Johor Darul Takzim FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pohang Steelers | LWLDD | 1.00 | 1.60 | 50% | 70% |
| Johor Darul Takzim FC | WWWDW | 5.40 | 0.50 | 40% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.