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III Liga - Group 4 · Poland
Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Star Starachowice prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Podlasie Biała Podlaska host Star Starachowice in the III Liga - Group 4 (Poland) on 1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Star Starachowice to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2–2 Star Starachowice.
Going into the match, Podlasie Biała Podlaska had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Star Starachowice had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Podlasie Biała Podlaska's last 10 and 4 of Star Starachowice's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Podlasie Biała Podlaska averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Star Starachowice averaged 0.87 scored and 2.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Podlasie Biała Podlaska and 1.07 from Star Starachowice. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 20%, against 45%, 24% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Podlasie Biała Podlaska (green) and Star Starachowice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podlasie Biała Podlaska | LLWLD | 0.80 | 1.10 | 40% | 30% |
| Star Starachowice | WDLDL | 1.10 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Star Starachowice 1–1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.54 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Podlasie Biała Podlaska HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.