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Druha Liga · Ukraine
Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Vilkhivtsi prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Podillya Khmelnytskyi host Vilkhivtsi in the Druha Liga (Ukraine) on 3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1–2 Vilkhivtsi.
Going into the match, Podillya Khmelnytskyi had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 16. Vilkhivtsi had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Podillya Khmelnytskyi's last 10 and 4 of Vilkhivtsi's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Podillya Khmelnytskyi averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Vilkhivtsi averaged 2.14 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Podillya Khmelnytskyi and 1.66 from Vilkhivtsi. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 48%, against 52%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Podillya Khmelnytskyi (green) and Vilkhivtsi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podillya Khmelnytskyi | WWWLD | 1.60 | 1.60 | 90% | 70% |
| Vilkhivtsi | WWLLD | 1.50 | 1.50 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.60 |
| Podillya Khmelnytskyi Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| Podillya Khmelnytskyi HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.