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II Liga - East · Poland
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Podhale Nowy Targ host Rekord Bielsko-Biała in the II Liga - East (Poland) on 3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Podhale Nowy Targ to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Podhale Nowy Targ 2–1 Rekord Bielsko-Biała.
Going into the match, Podhale Nowy Targ had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 17. Rekord Bielsko-Biała had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Podhale Nowy Targ's last 10 and 4 of Rekord Bielsko-Biała's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Podhale Nowy Targ averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Rekord Bielsko-Biała averaged 0.58 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Podhale Nowy Targ and 0.98 from Rekord Bielsko-Biała. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 23%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Podhale Nowy Targ (green) and Rekord Bielsko-Biała (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podhale Nowy Targ | LWWWW | 2.00 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
| Rekord Bielsko-Biała | WWWLL | 1.40 | 1.20 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Podhale Nowy Targ Win | 49% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.