Home › League stats › I Liga › Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce
I Liga · Poland
Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Podbeskidzie host Pogoń Siedlce in the I Liga (Poland) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Podbeskidzie 1–0 Pogoń Siedlce.
Going into the match, Podbeskidzie had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Pogoń Siedlce had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Podbeskidzie's last 10 and 6 of Pogoń Siedlce's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Podbeskidzie averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Pogoń Siedlce averaged 1.10 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Podbeskidzie and 0.87 from Pogoń Siedlce. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 19%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Podbeskidzie (green) and Pogoń Siedlce (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie | LDDDL | 1.00 | 1.60 | 50% | 40% |
| Pogoń Siedlce | WDDWL | 1.30 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.