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Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Pobla Mafumet vs Cornellà prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pobla Mafumet host Cornellà in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Cornellà to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pobla Mafumet 1–0 Cornellà.
Going into the match, Pobla Mafumet had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Cornellà had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Pobla Mafumet's last 5 and 5 of Cornellà's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pobla Mafumet averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Cornellà averaged 0.86 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Pobla Mafumet and 1.10 from Cornellà. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 28%, against 29%, 28% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pobla Mafumet (green) and Cornellà (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pobla Mafumet | DLWWL | 1.60 | 1.40 | 80% | 60% |
| Cornellà | DDWDL | 1.30 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Cornellà Win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.