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Second League - Group 1 · Russia
Pobeda vs Rubin Yalta prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pobeda host Rubin Yalta in the Second League - Group 1 (Russia) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pobeda 2–1 Rubin Yalta.
Going into the match, Pobeda had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 15. Rubin Yalta had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Pobeda's last 10 and 6 of Rubin Yalta's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pobeda averaged 2.73 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Rubin Yalta averaged 0.83 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.91 goals from Pobeda and 1.53 from Rubin Yalta. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 30%, against 39%, 30% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pobeda (green) and Rubin Yalta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pobeda | LWWWW | 1.60 | 1.50 | 40% | 60% |
| Rubin Yalta | WWLLW | 1.80 | 1.10 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Rubin Yalta 1–1 Pobeda
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.