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Czech Liga · Czech Republic
Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Plzen host Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Liga (Czech Republic) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Plzen 3–0 Mlada Boleslav.
Going into the match, Plzen had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 20. Mlada Boleslav had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Plzen's last 10 and 4 of Mlada Boleslav's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Plzen averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Mlada Boleslav averaged 1.85 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Plzen and 1.52 from Mlada Boleslav. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 34%, against 62%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Plzen (green) and Mlada Boleslav (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | LLLDW | 1.90 | 2.00 | 60% | 80% |
| Mlada Boleslav | WWWLW | 2.30 | 0.80 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 80% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Plzen Win | 63% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.