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FA Cup · England
Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Plymouth Parkway host Horsham in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.51, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Plymouth Parkway 2–1 Horsham.
Going into the match, Plymouth Parkway had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Horsham had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Plymouth Parkway's last 10 and 6 of Horsham's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Plymouth Parkway averaged 2.22 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Horsham averaged 0.89 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from Plymouth Parkway and 1.06 from Horsham. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 18%, against 36%, 26% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Plymouth Parkway (green) and Horsham (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Parkway | DLWWW | 2.00 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Horsham | DWLDD | 1.20 | 1.00 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Horsham Win | 38% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.